Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 25°C, 28.5% for 26°C, and 26.5% for 27°C, driven by divergent global forecast models amid an unseasonably warm autumn air mass. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and AccuWeather latest guidance points to peaks of 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies with rising humidity and light sea breezes from the Río de la Plata, above the 22°C April climatological average. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability—ECMWF ensembles favor denser cover limiting highs to 25°C, while GFS outliers project clearer intervals and urban heat island effects pushing toward 27°C. New 12z/18z model runs and morning soundings today could refine this ahead of resolution via official Aeroparque observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 14?
26°C 29%
27°C 28%
25°C 25%
28°C 11.1%
NEW
$28,994 Vol.
NEW
$28,994 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
25%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
11%
29°C or higher
4%
26°C 29%
27°C 28%
25°C 25%
28°C 11.1%
NEW
$28,994 Vol.
NEW
$28,994 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
19°C or below
$6,366 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$3,831 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$4,405 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,907 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,730 Vol.
2%
24°C
$1,068 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,025 Vol.
25%
26°C
$2,271 Vol.
29%
27°C
$1,944 Vol.
28%
28°C
$2,495 Vol.
11%
29°C or higher
$1,957 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 25°C, 28.5% for 26°C, and 26.5% for 27°C, driven by divergent global forecast models amid an unseasonably warm autumn air mass. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and AccuWeather latest guidance points to peaks of 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies with rising humidity and light sea breezes from the Río de la Plata, above the 22°C April climatological average. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability—ECMWF ensembles favor denser cover limiting highs to 25°C, while GFS outliers project clearer intervals and urban heat island effects pushing toward 27°C. New 12z/18z model runs and morning soundings today could refine this ahead of resolution via official Aeroparque observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$28,994End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 25°C, 28.5% for 26°C, and 26.5% for 27°C, driven by divergent global forecast models amid an unseasonably warm autumn air mass. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and AccuWeather latest guidance points to peaks of 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies with rising humidity and light sea breezes from the Río de la Plata, above the 22°C April climatological average. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability—ECMWF ensembles favor denser cover limiting highs to 25°C, while GFS outliers project clearer intervals and urban heat island effects pushing toward 27°C. New 12z/18z model runs and morning soundings today could refine this ahead of resolution via official Aeroparque observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,994End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 25°C, 28.5% for 26°C, and 26.5% for 27°C, driven by divergent global forecast models amid an unseasonably warm autumn air mass. Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and AccuWeather latest guidance points to peaks of 23–25°C under partly cloudy skies with rising humidity and light sea breezes from the Río de la Plata, above the 22°C April climatological average. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud cover variability—ECMWF ensembles favor denser cover limiting highs to 25°C, while GFS outliers project clearer intervals and urban heat island effects pushing toward 27°C. New 12z/18z model runs and morning soundings today could refine this ahead of resolution via official Aeroparque observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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