Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service project Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 14 at 17-18°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus with 32.5% implied probability for 17°C and 25% for 18°C. This positioning follows a cool early April pattern, including highs near 9°C on April 12 amid lingering cold air advection, now yielding to mild southerly flow and seasonal diurnal heating in Ankara's continental climate, where mid-April averages hover around 17°C. Differentiating factors include model spread from variable mid-level cloudiness potentially capping peak 2m temperatures by 1°C, with boundary layer mixing and afternoon insolation as key variables; final clarity awaits MGM hourly updates and airport observations resolving post-1800 UTC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on April 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 14?
17°C 33%
18°C 25%
16°C 20%
15°C 14%
NEW
$16,159 Vol.
NEW
$16,159 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
14%
16°C
20%
17°C
33%
18°C
25%
19°C
4%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 33%
18°C 25%
16°C 20%
15°C 14%
NEW
$16,159 Vol.
NEW
$16,159 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
11°C or below
$1,326 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,445 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,763 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,477 Vol.
2%
15°C
$1,763 Vol.
14%
16°C
$1,552 Vol.
20%
17°C
$1,001 Vol.
33%
18°C
$1,418 Vol.
25%
19°C
$1,850 Vol.
4%
20°C
$1,397 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service project Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 14 at 17-18°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus with 32.5% implied probability for 17°C and 25% for 18°C. This positioning follows a cool early April pattern, including highs near 9°C on April 12 amid lingering cold air advection, now yielding to mild southerly flow and seasonal diurnal heating in Ankara's continental climate, where mid-April averages hover around 17°C. Differentiating factors include model spread from variable mid-level cloudiness potentially capping peak 2m temperatures by 1°C, with boundary layer mixing and afternoon insolation as key variables; final clarity awaits MGM hourly updates and airport observations resolving post-1800 UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$16,159End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service project Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 14 at 17-18°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus with 32.5% implied probability for 17°C and 25% for 18°C. This positioning follows a cool early April pattern, including highs near 9°C on April 12 amid lingering cold air advection, now yielding to mild southerly flow and seasonal diurnal heating in Ankara's continental climate, where mid-April averages hover around 17°C. Differentiating factors include model spread from variable mid-level cloudiness potentially capping peak 2m temperatures by 1°C, with boundary layer mixing and afternoon insolation as key variables; final clarity awaits MGM hourly updates and airport observations resolving post-1800 UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,159End Date
Apr 14, 2026Market Opened
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Turkish State Meteorological Service project Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport on April 14 at 17-18°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds, driving trader consensus with 32.5% implied probability for 17°C and 25% for 18°C. This positioning follows a cool early April pattern, including highs near 9°C on April 12 amid lingering cold air advection, now yielding to mild southerly flow and seasonal diurnal heating in Ankara's continental climate, where mid-April averages hover around 17°C. Differentiating factors include model spread from variable mid-level cloudiness potentially capping peak 2m temperatures by 1°C, with boundary layer mixing and afternoon insolation as key variables; final clarity awaits MGM hourly updates and airport observations resolving post-1800 UTC.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions