World predictions & odds

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Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$88M Vol.

$13M today

$6M Liq.

2,041

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

94%

December 31

$39M Vol.

$2M today

$796K Liq.

1,984

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

90%

Chong Won-oh

$21M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

27

Ends in about 2 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

24%

Édouard Philippe

$38M Vol.

$953K today

$4M Liq.

395

Ends in about 1 year

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

39%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$49M Vol.

$782K today

$4M Liq.

4,214

Ends in 6 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

33%

$9M Vol.

$527K today

$255K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

11%

$30M Vol.

$437K today

$504K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

3%

$5M Vol.

$391K today

$244K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?
World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

91%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$356K today

$382K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

2%

$7M Vol.

$337K today

$242K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$117M Vol.

$333K today

$560K Liq.

33

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

80%

June 30

$24M Vol.

$294K today

$397K Liq.

447

Ends in 16 days

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

9%

$20M Vol.

$290K today

$844K Liq.

71

Ends in 9 months

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

13%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$264K today

$570K Liq.

61

Ends in 9 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

41%

Paloma Valencia

$19M Vol.

$196K today

$1M Liq.

377

Ends in 2 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

30%

$14M Vol.

$164K today

$455K Liq.

5,422

Ends in 9 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

13%

December 31

$15M Vol.

$155K today

$310K Liq.

335

Ends in 3 months

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
World·Awards

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

10%

Yulia Navalnaya

$13M Vol.

$143K today

$2M Liq.

152

Ends in 6 months

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

23%

$1M Vol.

$96.6K today

$21.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

23%

$15M Vol.

$85.0K today

$344K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like World.

Polymarket currently hosts 256 active markets for World that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next Prime Minister of Hungary”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $531.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on World predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.