Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its policy rate steady at 2.50% in May, anchored by the central bank's unanimous April 10 decision to maintain rates amid balanced risks to inflation and growth. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—below the 2.4% forecast but up from February—fueled by oil surges from Middle East tensions, prompting the BOK to project sub-2% GDP growth and mid-to-high 2% inflation for the year. Governor nominee Shin affirmed the rate's near-neutral stance on April 13, tempering cut odds at 1.2% despite slowdown risks, while a 11.5% hike probability reflects persistent inflationary pressures ahead of the May 28 meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 88%
Increase 12%
Decrease 1.2%
$43,816 Vol.
$43,816 Vol.
Decrease
1%
No Change
88%
Increase
12%
No Change 88%
Increase 12%
Decrease 1.2%
$43,816 Vol.
$43,816 Vol.
Decrease
1%
No Change
88%
Increase
12%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 88% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its policy rate steady at 2.50% in May, anchored by the central bank's unanimous April 10 decision to maintain rates amid balanced risks to inflation and growth. March 2026 CPI rose to 2.2% year-over-year—below the 2.4% forecast but up from February—fueled by oil surges from Middle East tensions, prompting the BOK to project sub-2% GDP growth and mid-to-high 2% inflation for the year. Governor nominee Shin affirmed the rate's near-neutral stance on April 13, tempering cut odds at 1.2% despite slowdown risks, while a 11.5% hike probability reflects persistent inflationary pressures ahead of the May 28 meeting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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