Palestine predictions & odds

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Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

1%

April 10

$1M Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

16%

$47.3K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

25%

Belgium

$539K Vol.

$93.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What will Trump say in April?

What will Trump say in April?

75%

Big League

$119K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

22

Ends in 16 days

What will Trump say this week? (April 19)

What will Trump say this week? (April 19)

85%

Sleepy Joe

$65.0K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

54%

40-59

$1.8K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

55%

20-24

$10.0K Vol.

$2.4K Liq.

Ends in about 22 hours

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

56%

April 21

$539K Vol.

$167K today

$76.2K Liq.

10

Ends in 7 days

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?

5%

April 30

$37.5K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

31%

3

$9.9K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

21%

Oil Sanction Relief

$351K Vol.

$106K today

$89.9K Liq.

14

Ends in 16 days

April Inflation US - Monthly

April Inflation US - Monthly

22%

0.5%

$1.6K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

Ends in 28 days

What will Trump say during dinner with Dutch royals on April 13?

What will Trump say during dinner with Dutch royals on April 13?

70%

-No Qualifying Event-

$3.0K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

2

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

76%

Nothing

$20.9K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

7%

$54.2K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

74%

10

$154K Vol.

$73.8K Liq.

37

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (April 13 - 18)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (April 13 - 18)

51%

April 15

$107 Vol.

$616 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$3.5K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

57%

$3.2K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$588 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Palestine.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for Palestine that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel military action against Gaza on...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel military action against Gaza on...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel military action against Gaza on...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to April 3. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Palestine predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.