Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in April?

Market icon
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in April?

$116,265 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$116,265 Vol.

Polymarket

N Word

$32,990 Vol.

5%

Reverse Migration

$61 Vol.

50%

White House Doctor

$45 Vol.

43%

Love Trump / Loves Trump

$529 Vol.

49%

RINO / Republican in Name Only

$4,244 Vol.

67%

Trump Was Right About Everything

$210 Vol.

46%

Discombobulator / Discombobulated

$810 Vol.

16%

Alien Dot Gov / Aliens Dot Gov

$809 Vol.

7%

Peacefully and Patriotically

$134 Vol.

29%

Kennedy Center

$648 Vol.

66%

Dog

$660 Vol.

55%

America Last

$1,070 Vol.

72%

Toronto

$521 Vol.

33%

Trump Time

$224 Vol.

29%

Big League

$32 Vol.

68%

Not an Autopen / Not an Auto Pen

$277 Vol.

43%

Palestine

$1,242 Vol.

39%

Two Genders

$299 Vol.

47%

MVP

$817 Vol.

47%

Cocktail

$70 Vol.

41%

Dead by June

$228 Vol.

25%

Fuck / Fucking / Fucked

$2,876 Vol.

31%

Coward

$299 Vol.

37%

Mustache

$859 Vol.

23%

Braggadocious

$2,398 Vol.

12%

Paper Clip

$2,859 Vol.

22%

Mar-a-Lago

$415 Vol.

70%

Sovereign / Sovereignty

$3,762 Vol.

71%

Six Seven

$2,081 Vol.

29%

Disgusting

$811 Vol.

82%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent foreign policy announcements, including a April 12 statement on imposing a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz after failed peace talks with Iran, have heightened trader focus on his rhetorical patterns in public remarks. Press gaggles on April 10-11 and a April 6 press conference featured characteristic phrasing on international diplomacy, oil prices, and warnings to China, aligning with market outcomes tracking signature terms like self-references or opponent critiques. With the market resolving April 30 based on verified mentions in speeches, X posts, or interviews, traders anticipate influence from the scheduled April 30 cabinet meeting and ongoing White House interactions, reflecting his consistent communication style amid escalating Middle East tensions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$116,265
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.President Trump's recent foreign policy announcements, including a April 12 statement on imposing a US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz after failed peace talks with Iran, have heightened trader focus on his rhetorical patterns in public remarks. Press gaggles on April 10-11 and a April 6 press conference featured characteristic phrasing on international diplomacy, oil prices, and warnings to China, aligning with market outcomes tracking signature terms like self-references or opponent critiques. With the market resolving April 30 based on verified mentions in speeches, X posts, or interviews, traders anticipate influence from the scheduled April 30 cabinet meeting and ongoing White House interactions, reflecting his consistent communication style amid escalating Middle East tensions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Volume
$116,265
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 41+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jesus" at 100%, followed by "Gulf of Trump" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in April?" has generated $116.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in April?," browse the 41+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in April?" is "Jesus" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gulf of Trump" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.