Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 86-87°F leading at 38% implied probability followed by 88-89°F at 25%, reflects the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 86°F in Atlanta on April 15 under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the eastern U.S., fostering subsidence that warms the lower atmosphere while suppressing clouds and precipitation amid ongoing drought conditions. Recent developments include a record-tying 82°F high earlier this week and a warming trend pushing daily highs 10-15°F above the mid-April climatological normal of 73°F, per NOAA data. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, though daily updates could refine peak temperature amid minor timing uncertainties in ridge evolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on April 15?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on April 15?
86-87°F 38%
88-89°F 24%
84-85°F 19%
90-91°F 8%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
8%
92°F or higher
3%
86-87°F 38%
88-89°F 24%
84-85°F 19%
90-91°F 8%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
7%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
38%
88-89°F
24%
90-91°F
8%
92°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 86-87°F leading at 38% implied probability followed by 88-89°F at 25%, reflects the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 86°F in Atlanta on April 15 under mostly sunny skies and light southwest winds. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge over the eastern U.S., fostering subsidence that warms the lower atmosphere while suppressing clouds and precipitation amid ongoing drought conditions. Recent developments include a record-tying 82°F high earlier this week and a warming trend pushing daily highs 10-15°F above the mid-April climatological normal of 73°F, per NOAA data. Model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show tight agreement, though daily updates could refine peak temperature amid minor timing uncertainties in ridge evolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions