Haiti's Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) announced on April 8 a postponement of voter and candidate registration—originally set for early April—due to a new government decree mandating alignment with a national political pact, leaving no revised dates amid no timetable update. This latest procedural delay, following the Transitional Presidential Council's dissolution on February 7 without elections and persistent gang dominance in Port-au-Prince hindering security preparations, reinforces trader consensus on further setbacks to the scheduled August 30 first-round presidential and legislative vote. The 63% "Yes" probability captures skepticism rooted in repeated historical postponements and institutional limbo, though accelerated steps could still salvage the calendar.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Haiti's Provisional Electoral Council (CEP) announced on April 8 a postponement of voter and candidate registration—originally set for early April—due to a new government decree mandating alignment with a national political pact, leaving no revised dates amid no timetable update. This latest procedural delay, following the Transitional Presidential Council's dissolution on February 7 without elections and persistent gang dominance in Port-au-Prince hindering security preparations, reinforces trader consensus on further setbacks to the scheduled August 30 first-round presidential and legislative vote. The 63% "Yes" probability captures skepticism rooted in repeated historical postponements and institutional limbo, though accelerated steps could still salvage the calendar.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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