Mexico predictions & odds

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Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?

99%

22°C or higher

$81.6K Vol.

$153K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 15?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 15?

99%

19°C or higher

$25.5K Vol.

$114K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?

Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?

88%

25°C or higher

$42.2K Vol.

$709K Liq.

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

88%

No change

$44.4K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

40%

June 30

$86.3K Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

 World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

3%

$119K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

11

Ends in about 2 months

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

18%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$32.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$169K Vol.

$46.5K Liq.

67

Ends in 9 months

Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026?

35%

1.0-1.5%

$2.5K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026

32%

3.00% to 3.49%

$34.7K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

62%

Juan Pablo Ledezma

$13.2K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

2

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

53%

No change

$5 Vol.

$550 Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Mexico.

Polymarket currently hosts 12 active markets for Mexico that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “ World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 18% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Mexico predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.