Market icon
Sports·FIFA

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

Market icon
Sports·FIFA

World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?

3% chance
Polymarket

$118,056 Vol.

3% chance
Polymarket

$118,056 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no relocation of any 2026 FIFA World Cup games from Mexico at 96.8%, reflecting FIFA's firm rejection of venue changes amid resolved stadium concerns. Estadio Azteca, set to host the June 11 opener between Mexico and South Africa, was reinaugurated March 29 with President Gianni Infantino present, despite prior renovation delays and a fan incident overshadowing the event. Mexico President Claudia Sheinbaum confirmed April 10 that FIFA deems shifts logistically impossible, echoing denials of Iran's bid to move its U.S. matches there. Earlier cartel violence fears in host cities have not escalated, solidifying the original USA-Canada-Mexico framework. Realistic shifts would require major security breakdowns or unfinished renovations, but with 60 days remaining, timelines favor stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.

The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$118,056
End Date
Jun 10, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no relocation of any 2026 FIFA World Cup games from Mexico at 96.8%, reflecting FIFA's firm rejection of venue changes amid resolved stadium concerns. Estadio Azteca, set to host the June 11 opener between Mexico and South Africa, was reinaugurated March 29 with President Gianni Infantino present, despite prior renovation delays and a fan incident overshadowing the event. Mexico President Claudia Sheinbaum confirmed April 10 that FIFA deems shifts logistically impossible, echoing denials of Iran's bid to move its U.S. matches there. Earlier cartel violence fears in host cities have not escalated, solidifying the original USA-Canada-Mexico framework. Realistic shifts would require major security breakdowns or unfinished renovations, but with 60 days remaining, timelines favor stability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked.

The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$118,056
End Date
Jun 10, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 22, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that any 2026 FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled to be held in Mexico will be relocated to a location outside of Mexico by June 10, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement will immediately resolve the market to "Yes" regardless of whether the relocation is later revoked. The resolution source will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

Market icon

Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?

8%
Market icon

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

17%
Market icon

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

53%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

" World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 3% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 3¢, the market collectively assigns a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, " World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?" has generated $118.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on " World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for " World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?" is 3% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for " World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.