Israel military action against Iran by...?

Israel military action against Iran by...?

52%

April 21

$758K Vol.

$424K today

$44.5K Liq.

16

Ends in 7 days

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

50%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$241K today

$140K Liq.

245

Ends in 3 months

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

89%

April 30

$193K Vol.

$80.5K today

$28.6K Liq.

29

Ends in about 11 hours

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

44%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$5M Vol.

$60.4K today

$612K Liq.

153

Ends in 9 months

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

<1%

April 10

$1M Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

1%

April 10

$1M Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

100%

April 9

$327K Vol.

$46.8K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

53%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$67.8K Liq.

165

Ends in 3 months

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

27%

5

$6M Vol.

$175K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

6%

April 30

$222K Vol.

$25.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 16 days

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

13%

$62.7K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

44%

3

$96.4K Vol.

$30.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

34%

April 30

$26.4K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

17%

$94.6K Vol.

$20.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

16%

Lebanon

$151K Vol.

$98.8K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

25%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

351

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

23%

$136K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

15%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

32

Ends in 9 months

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

49%

December 31

$511K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

8

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

23%

$181K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel.

Polymarket currently hosts 220 active markets for Israel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel military action against Iran by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $25.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to 5. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.