Israel predictions & odds

·
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?

94%

December 31

$39M Vol.

$2M today

$809K Liq.

1,973

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

2%

$30M Vol.

$639K today

$1M Liq.

3

Ends in 16 days

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

33%

$9M Vol.

$516K today

$205K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

100%

Kuwait

$1M Vol.

$436K today

$393K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Israel military action against Iran by...?

Israel military action against Iran by...?

28%

April 21

$947K Vol.

$423K today

$60.5K Liq.

29

Ends in 7 days

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

11%

$30M Vol.

$416K today

$521K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

52%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$331K today

$115K Liq.

253

Ends in 3 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$117M Vol.

$322K today

$550K Liq.

33

Ends in 9 months

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$15M Vol.

$169K today

$304K Liq.

334

Ends in 3 months

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

23%

$15M Vol.

$136K today

$330K Liq.

6

Ends in 9 months

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire broken by...?

35%

April 21

$410K Vol.

$128K today

$35.5K Liq.

23

Ends in 7 days

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

95%

April 30

$227K Vol.

$99.9K today

$38.0K Liq.

34

Ends in about 6 hours

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?

25%

$1M Vol.

$96.1K today

$19.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by...?

16%

April 30

$2M Vol.

$59.3K today

$59.2K Liq.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$5M Vol.

$59.2K today

$647K Liq.

153

Ends in 9 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

7%

$1M Vol.

$55.0K today

$376K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

39%

Somaliland

$500K Vol.

$94.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$220K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

15%

UAE

$3M Vol.

$219K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

100%

April 9

$338K Vol.

$107K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel.

Polymarket currently hosts 76 active markets for Israel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $279.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.