Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

42%

<4m sq km

$30.9K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

7%

$68.3K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

3

Ends in 3 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

45%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

109

Ends in 3 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

67%

↓ $2.60

$223K Vol.

$243K Liq.

1

Ends in 18 days

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

52%

↓ 0.40

$65.5K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

16%

↑ $4

$615K Vol.

$48.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 April 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

65%

3rd hottest

$60.2K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

39%

1.15–1.19ºC

$108K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

81%

$119K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2026

$445K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

29

Will Aurora make a roster change before July?

Will Aurora make a roster change before July?

96%

$1 Vol.

$70 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.2K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of April 6 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of April 6 2026?

48%

↓ $2.60

$3.3K Vol.

$46 Liq.

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in April?

54%

↑ 44

$62.5K Vol.

$42.2K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

76%

<3

$9.8K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of April 13 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of April 13 2026?

100%

↑ $2.70

$14.0K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit in 2026?

90%

↓ 50

$18.5K Vol.

$92 Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

2026 World GDP Growth

2026 World GDP Growth

24%

3.0%

$15.5K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

32%

$1M Vol.

$65.8K Liq.

58

Ends in 10 months

Will T1 make a roster change before July?

Will T1 make a roster change before July?

7%

$54 Vol.

$611 Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Climate Change.

Polymarket currently hosts 354 active markets for Climate Change that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 45% chance to June 30, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Climate Change predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.