Canada predictions & odds

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Terrebone By-Election Winner

Terrebone By-Election Winner

74%

Tatiana Auguste

$358K Vol.

$73.8K today

$206K Liq.

21

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

100%

$238K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

44

Ends in 3 months

Next Premier of Quebec

Next Premier of Quebec

100%

Christine Fréchette

$50.4K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

6

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

University—Rosedale By-Election Winner

100%

Danielle Martin

$78.5K Vol.

$47.0K Liq.

Quebec General Election Winner

Quebec General Election Winner

57%

PQ

$419K Vol.

$99.8K Liq.

46

Ends in 6 months

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

30%

Ken Sim

$19.9K Vol.

$95.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

42%

Caroline Elliott

$22.8K Vol.

$57.8K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Canada recession before 2027?

Canada recession before 2027?

40%

$64.0K Vol.

$22.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

100%

Doly Begum

$47.3K Vol.

$29.5K Liq.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

66%

$337K Vol.

$40.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

15%

$50.3K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

7

Ends in 9 months

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

98%

No change

$95.7K Vol.

$30.5K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

29%

$134K Vol.

$21.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

35%

$4.8K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

77%

Olivia Chow

$8.9K Vol.

$78.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

61%

Mark Sutcliffe

$3.7K Vol.

$49.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

14%

$2.4K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 9 months

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

18%

$30.7K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

25%

$36.6K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

9

Ends in 9 months

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Another Canada election called by June 30?

5%

$74.6K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

40

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 32 active markets for Canada that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Terrebone By-Election Winner”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Quebec General Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Quebec General Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 57% chance to PQ. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Canada predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.