Trader consensus in the Vermont Governor Democratic primary, set for August 11, 2026, favors Attorney General Charity Clark at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting her high name recognition from statewide office and a October 2025 UNH poll showing divided support between her and Treasurer Mike Pieciak for a gubernatorial bid against Republican incumbent Phil Scott. Pieciak's 15% share has softened following his top consultant's January departure to another campaign, signaling reluctance despite prior speculation as a strong challenger. Esther Charlestin's 2.8% stems from her 2024 primary win but lopsided general election loss. With filing deadline May 28 and recent entries by Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards gaining little traction, the field remains fluid and competitive amid Democratic recruitment struggles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCharity Clark 30%
Mike Pieciak 12%
Esther Charlestin 2.8%
$53,866 Vol.
$53,866 Vol.
Charity Clark
29%
Mike Pieciak
15%
Esther Charlestin
3%
Charity Clark 30%
Mike Pieciak 12%
Esther Charlestin 2.8%
$53,866 Vol.
$53,866 Vol.
Charity Clark
29%
Mike Pieciak
15%
Esther Charlestin
3%
If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Vermont Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Vermont Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the Vermont Governor Democratic primary, set for August 11, 2026, favors Attorney General Charity Clark at 37.5% implied probability, reflecting her high name recognition from statewide office and a October 2025 UNH poll showing divided support between her and Treasurer Mike Pieciak for a gubernatorial bid against Republican incumbent Phil Scott. Pieciak's 15% share has softened following his top consultant's January departure to another campaign, signaling reluctance despite prior speculation as a strong challenger. Esther Charlestin's 2.8% stems from her 2024 primary win but lopsided general election loss. With filing deadline May 28 and recent entries by Amanda Janoo and Aly Richards gaining little traction, the field remains fluid and competitive amid Democratic recruitment struggles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions