Cinde Warmington leads the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary market at 70.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus from a Saint Anselm College poll conducted March 16–18 among registered voters, where she garnered 40% support to Jon Kiper's 13% amid 47% undecided voters. Her frontrunner status builds on strong name recognition from finishing second with 41.8% in the 2024 primary and her February launch as the highest-profile entrant. Kiper trails at 10% matching his polling share, while Tom Sherman (5.8%), Deaglan McEachern (2.6%), and Donovan Fenton (0.5%) lag as McEachern and Fenton have publicly declined to run. High undecideds signal uncertainty ahead of the September 8 primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCinde Warmington 73%
Tom Sherman 5.8%
John Kiper 4%
Deaglan McEachern 2.6%
$20,834 Vol.
$20,834 Vol.
Cinde Warmington
72%
Tom Sherman
6%
John Kiper
9%
Deaglan McEachern
3%
Donovan Fenton
1%
Cinde Warmington 73%
Tom Sherman 5.8%
John Kiper 4%
Deaglan McEachern 2.6%
$20,834 Vol.
$20,834 Vol.
Cinde Warmington
72%
Tom Sherman
6%
John Kiper
9%
Deaglan McEachern
3%
Donovan Fenton
1%
If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cinde Warmington leads the New Hampshire Democratic gubernatorial primary market at 70.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus from a Saint Anselm College poll conducted March 16–18 among registered voters, where she garnered 40% support to Jon Kiper's 13% amid 47% undecided voters. Her frontrunner status builds on strong name recognition from finishing second with 41.8% in the 2024 primary and her February launch as the highest-profile entrant. Kiper trails at 10% matching his polling share, while Tom Sherman (5.8%), Deaglan McEachern (2.6%), and Donovan Fenton (0.5%) lag as McEachern and Fenton have publicly declined to run. High undecideds signal uncertainty ahead of the September 8 primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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