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World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Market icon
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson 54%

Ulf Kristersson 41%

Jimmie Åkesson 2.6%

Ebba Busch 1.4%

Polymarket

$1,765,605 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson 54%

Ulf Kristersson 41%

Jimmie Åkesson 2.6%

Ebba Busch 1.4%

Polymarket

$1,765,605 Vol.

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Magdalena Andersson

$49,355 Vol.

54%

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Ulf Kristersson

$46,160 Vol.

41%

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Jimmie Åkesson

$1,288,788 Vol.

3%

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Ebba Busch

$268,139 Vol.

1%

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Simona Mohamsson

$30,044 Vol.

<1%

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Nooshi Dadgostar

$16,875 Vol.

<1%

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Anna-Karin Hatt

$17,508 Vol.

<1%

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Amanda Lind

$15,392 Vol.

<1%

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Daniel Helldén

$17,951 Vol.

<1%

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Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist

$15,393 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Magdalena Andersson at 53.5% and Ulf Kristersson at 40.5% to become Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, reflecting tight opinion polls showing a closely contested race between the left bloc—led by her Social Democrats at around 33%—and the Tidö right bloc near 45% but potentially short of a 175-seat majority. Recent Verian polling (March-April 2026) indicates stability with minor shifts, including a one-point gain for Social Democrats to 33%, amid historical patterns favoring the largest party's leader in coalition negotiations. Kristersson's April 1 announcement pledging a full majority government including Sweden Democrats has bolstered right-wing unity, yet traders see lingering uncertainty in bloc arithmetic and turnout as tipping toward Andersson. Lower odds for Jimmie Åkesson and others stem from their parties' secondary roles in likely coalitions.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,765,605
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Magdalena Andersson at 53.5% and Ulf Kristersson at 40.5% to become Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, reflecting tight opinion polls showing a closely contested race between the left bloc—led by her Social Democrats at around 33%—and the Tidö right bloc near 45% but potentially short of a 175-seat majority. Recent Verian polling (March-April 2026) indicates stability with minor shifts, including a one-point gain for Social Democrats to 33%, amid historical patterns favoring the largest party's leader in coalition negotiations. Kristersson's April 1 announcement pledging a full majority government including Sweden Democrats has bolstered right-wing unity, yet traders see lingering uncertainty in bloc arithmetic and turnout as tipping toward Andersson. Lower odds for Jimmie Åkesson and others stem from their parties' secondary roles in likely coalitions.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,765,605
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Magdalena Andersson" at 54%, followed by "Ulf Kristersson" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Sweden," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" is "Magdalena Andersson" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ulf Kristersson" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Sweden" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.