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World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Market icon
World·Global Elections

Next Prime Minister of Slovenia

Janez Janša 68%

Jernej Vrtovec 11.4%

Anže Logar 8.3%

Robert Golob 6.2%

Polymarket

$2,542,213 Vol.

Janez Janša 68%

Jernej Vrtovec 11.4%

Anže Logar 8.3%

Robert Golob 6.2%

Polymarket

$2,542,213 Vol.

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Janez Janša

$636,754 Vol.

68%

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Jernej Vrtovec

$37,370 Vol.

11%

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Anže Logar

$941,175 Vol.

8%

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Robert Golob

$607,645 Vol.

6%

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Matej Tonin

$10,817 Vol.

<1%

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Zoran Stevanović

$107,969 Vol.

<1%

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Vladimir Prebilič

$176,869 Vol.

<1%

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Luka Mesec

$9,299 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Matjaž Han

$14,316 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the April 10 inauguration of Slovenia's National Assembly, where Resni.ca leader Zoran Stevanović's election as speaker signaled center-right bloc cohesion, traders price Janez Janša of the Slovenian Democratic Party at 68% implied probability to become next prime minister, buoyed by his party's 28 seats anchoring a potential 43-seat right-wing coalition with New Slovenia, SLS, and others for a majority in the 90-seat chamber. Jernej Vrtovec (11.6%) and Anže Logar (8.3%) emerge as compromise options amid negotiations, while incumbent Robert Golob's Freedom Movement faces exclusion despite its narrow plurality win in the March 22 snap election, hampered by prior scandals and a 40-seat center-left alliance shortfall. President Nataša Pirc Musar must soon nominate a candidate for a confidence vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,542,213
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Following the April 10 inauguration of Slovenia's National Assembly, where Resni.ca leader Zoran Stevanović's election as speaker signaled center-right bloc cohesion, traders price Janez Janša of the Slovenian Democratic Party at 68% implied probability to become next prime minister, buoyed by his party's 28 seats anchoring a potential 43-seat right-wing coalition with New Slovenia, SLS, and others for a majority in the 90-seat chamber. Jernej Vrtovec (11.6%) and Anže Logar (8.3%) emerge as compromise options amid negotiations, while incumbent Robert Golob's Freedom Movement faces exclusion despite its narrow plurality win in the March 22 snap election, hampered by prior scandals and a 40-seat center-left alliance shortfall. President Nataša Pirc Musar must soon nominate a candidate for a confidence vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,542,213
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janez Janša" at 68%, followed by "Jernej Vrtovec" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" has generated $2.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" is "Janez Janša" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jernej Vrtovec" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Prime Minister of Slovenia" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.