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PoliticsΒ·Primaries

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
PoliticsΒ·Primaries

Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Alexander Vindman 89.2%

Jared Moskowitz 6.7%

Josh Weil 1.4%

Joey Atkins <1%

Polymarket

$106,501 Vol.

Alexander Vindman 89.2%

Jared Moskowitz 6.7%

Josh Weil 1.4%

Joey Atkins <1%

Polymarket

$106,501 Vol.

Alexander Vindman

$33,374 Vol.

89%

Jared Moskowitz

$49,391 Vol.

7%

Josh Weil

$5,315 Vol.

1%

Joey Atkins

$2,249 Vol.

1%

Jennifer Jenkins

$16,172 Vol.

1%

Angie Nixon

$0 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Crist

$0 Vol.

<1%

Alan Grayson

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman dominates trader consensus at 89% implied probability for the Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 18, driven by his $8.2 million fundraising haul reported April 1 and Hector Mujica's dropout with endorsement on April 6, bolstering his national profile as a Trump impeachment whistleblower despite not being Florida-native. U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz trails at 7% amid speculation on his potential entry before the April 24 filing deadline, leveraging South Florida incumbency. Lesser-known challengers like Josh Weil, Jennifer Jenkins, and Joey Atkins hover below 2%, lacking comparable resources or momentum, while veterans Charlie Crist and Alan Grayson linger under 1% due to prior electoral setbacks. Upcoming candidate filings could shift dynamics in this special election primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$106,501
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman dominates trader consensus at 89% implied probability for the Florida Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 18, driven by his $8.2 million fundraising haul reported April 1 and Hector Mujica's dropout with endorsement on April 6, bolstering his national profile as a Trump impeachment whistleblower despite not being Florida-native. U.S. Rep. Jared Moskowitz trails at 7% amid speculation on his potential entry before the April 24 filing deadline, leveraging South Florida incumbency. Lesser-known challengers like Josh Weil, Jennifer Jenkins, and Joey Atkins hover below 2%, lacking comparable resources or momentum, while veterans Charlie Crist and Alan Grayson linger under 1% due to prior electoral setbacks. Upcoming candidate filings could shift dynamics in this special election primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida.

If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$106,501
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Florida. If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexander Vindman" at 89%, followed by "Jared Moskowitz" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89Β’ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $106.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Alexander Vindman" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jared Moskowitz" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner β€” including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.