NATO dissolves before 2027?

NATO dissolves before 2027?

6%

$72.3K Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 months

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

12%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$343K today

$597K Liq.

61

Ends in 9 months

Will any country leave NATO by...?

Will any country leave NATO by...?

17%

December 31, 2026

$813K Vol.

$86.1K Liq.

24

Ends in 9 months

NATO article 5 before 2027?

NATO article 5 before 2027?

17%

$57.7K Vol.

$13.7K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

Trump announces tariff for Iran military cooperation by April 17?

7%

$52.3K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 days

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?

17%

Oil Sanction Relief

$318K Vol.

$100K today

$78.7K Liq.

14

Ends in 16 days

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts April 14 - April 21, 2026?

62%

60-79

$1.6K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Nothing Ever Happens: April

85%

Nothing

$17.0K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 14?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 14?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

47%

April 21

$449K Vol.

$126K today

$82.0K Liq.

10

Ends in 7 days

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?

59%

$3.2K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 13?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 13?

80%

Up

$1.8K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

54%

20-24

$9.8K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 12 - April 18)

76%

<3

$9.8K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 days

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 14?

Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 14?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?

Will Russia enter Serhiivka by...?

5%

April 30

$37.5K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8-12?

84%

10

$144K Vol.

$82.1K Liq.

25

Fluent public sale total commitments?

Fluent public sale total commitments?

43%

>$18M

$220K Vol.

$36.1K Liq.

10

Ends in 18 days

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?

54%

Up

$0 Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 14?

FTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on April 14?

50%

Up

$0 Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like North Atlantic Treaty.

Polymarket currently hosts 108 active markets for North Atlantic Treaty that lets you track or trade on predictions like “NATO dissolves before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “NATO article 5 before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will US withdraw from NATO by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will US withdraw from NATO by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 12% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on North Atlantic Treaty predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.