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Politics·Primaries

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?

Janeese Lewis George 53%

Kenyan McDuffie 40%

Gary Goodweather 6.2%

Brooke Pinto 1.2%

Polymarket

$110,687 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George 53%

Kenyan McDuffie 40%

Gary Goodweather 6.2%

Brooke Pinto 1.2%

Polymarket

$110,687 Vol.

Janeese Lewis George

$6,218 Vol.

53%

Kenyan McDuffie

$28,319 Vol.

40%

Gary Goodweather

$16,782 Vol.

6%

Brooke Pinto

$14,905 Vol.

1%

Christina Henderson

$34,084 Vol.

1%

Phil Mendelson

$2,606 Vol.

1%

Karl Racine

$915 Vol.

<1%

Brianne K. Nadeau

$1,619 Vol.

<1%

Muriel Bowser

$543 Vol.

<1%

Robert White Jr.

$3,332 Vol.

<1%

Brian Schwalb

$827 Vol.

<1%

Zachary Parker

$537 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the 2026 Democratic D.C. mayoral primary favors Ward 4 Councilmember Janeese Lewis George at 52.5% over former Ward 5 Councilmember Kenyan McDuffie at 40%, reflecting her edge in progressive endorsements from groups like Free DC, Working Families Party, and teachers' union, alongside strong showings in early straw polls and candidate forums. Recent March clashes at Free DC and Anacostia events sharpened contrasts on soaring Pepco utility bills, housing ambitions—Lewis George's push for expansive social housing versus McDuffie's moderate goals—and council experience, with McDuffie drawing business backing from ABC Metro and Maryland Senator Angela Alsobrooks. Big-money attack ads and April housing policy scrutiny underscore the tight race ahead of the June 16 primary, where turnout in key wards could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$110,687
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the 2026 Democratic D.C. mayoral primary favors Ward 4 Councilmember Janeese Lewis George at 52.5% over former Ward 5 Councilmember Kenyan McDuffie at 40%, reflecting her edge in progressive endorsements from groups like Free DC, Working Families Party, and teachers' union, alongside strong showings in early straw polls and candidate forums. Recent March clashes at Free DC and Anacostia events sharpened contrasts on soaring Pepco utility bills, housing ambitions—Lewis George's push for expansive social housing versus McDuffie's moderate goals—and council experience, with McDuffie drawing business backing from ABC Metro and Maryland Senator Angela Alsobrooks. Big-money attack ads and April housing policy scrutiny underscore the tight race ahead of the June 16 primary, where turnout in key wards could tip the balance.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026.

If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$110,687
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic primary election for the mayor of Washington D.C., scheduled to be held June 16, 2026. If no 2026 D.C. Democratic Mayoral Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the D.C. Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Janeese Lewis George" at 53%, followed by "Kenyan McDuffie" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" has generated $110.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" is "Janeese Lewis George" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Kenyan McDuffie" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.