Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 74.5% to hold Virginia's 7th Congressional District due to its current Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, amplified by the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum that could empower the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw maps, potentially creating a safer Democratic seat as in their proposed 10-1 advantage plan. Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman announced in February his switch to VA-01, opening VA-07 to a strong Democratic primary field including state Del. Dan Helmer, backed by party leaders, and former first lady Dorothy McAuliffe, whose March entry boosts fundraising prospects. Republicans, including state Sen. Tara Durant, face a fragmented field lacking a clear frontrunner amid early national generic ballot leads for Democrats; August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVA-07 House Election Winner
VA-07 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$106 Vol.
85%
Republican Party
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 74.5% to hold Virginia's 7th Congressional District due to its current Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, amplified by the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum that could empower the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw maps, potentially creating a safer Democratic seat as in their proposed 10-1 advantage plan. Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman announced in February his switch to VA-01, opening VA-07 to a strong Democratic primary field including state Del. Dan Helmer, backed by party leaders, and former first lady Dorothy McAuliffe, whose March entry boosts fundraising prospects. Republicans, including state Sen. Tara Durant, face a fragmented field lacking a clear frontrunner amid early national generic ballot leads for Democrats; August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$106End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 74.5% to hold Virginia's 7th Congressional District due to its current Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, amplified by the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum that could empower the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw maps, potentially creating a safer Democratic seat as in their proposed 10-1 advantage plan. Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman announced in February his switch to VA-01, opening VA-07 to a strong Democratic primary field including state Del. Dan Helmer, backed by party leaders, and former first lady Dorothy McAuliffe, whose March entry boosts fundraising prospects. Republicans, including state Sen. Tara Durant, face a fragmented field lacking a clear frontrunner amid early national generic ballot leads for Democrats; August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$106End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 74.5% to hold Virginia's 7th Congressional District due to its current Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+2, amplified by the April 21 constitutional amendment referendum that could empower the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to redraw maps, potentially creating a safer Democratic seat as in their proposed 10-1 advantage plan. Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman announced in February his switch to VA-01, opening VA-07 to a strong Democratic primary field including state Del. Dan Helmer, backed by party leaders, and former first lady Dorothy McAuliffe, whose March entry boosts fundraising prospects. Republicans, including state Sen. Tara Durant, face a fragmented field lacking a clear frontrunner amid early national generic ballot leads for Democrats; August 4 primaries loom as the next catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions