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Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 44%

Jim Priest 30%

Troy Green 11%

Rebekah LaVann 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas 44%

Jim Priest 30%

Troy Green 11%

Rebekah LaVann 2.6%

Polymarket
NEW

N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas

$0 Vol.

51%

Jim Priest

$3,770 Vol.

30%

Troy Green

$1,901 Vol.

11%

Rebekah LaVann

$3,477 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas leads trader consensus at 51% implied probability for Oklahoma’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 16, driven by her grassroots momentum as a nurse and advocate, including a March 11 speech to University of Oklahoma College Democrats and robust social media engagement post-April 3 filing deadline, when the field solidified with no further major entrants. Jim Priest, a civil rights lawyer, ordained minister, and nonprofit CEO who announced in January, holds 23% on his established community ties amid expected low Democratic turnout in the deep-red state. Troy Green garners 11% leveraging his foster care survivor background and Safe Haven founding, while Rebekah LaVann trails at 2.6%; absent public polls, odds reflect visibility and fragmented field dynamics ahead of the closed primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,148
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas leads trader consensus at 51% implied probability for Oklahoma’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary on June 16, driven by her grassroots momentum as a nurse and advocate, including a March 11 speech to University of Oklahoma College Democrats and robust social media engagement post-April 3 filing deadline, when the field solidified with no further major entrants. Jim Priest, a civil rights lawyer, ordained minister, and nonprofit CEO who announced in January, holds 23% on his established community ties amid expected low Democratic turnout in the deep-red state. Troy Green garners 11% leveraging his foster care survivor background and Safe Haven founding, while Rebekah LaVann trails at 2.6%; absent public polls, odds reflect visibility and fragmented field dynamics ahead of the closed primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma.

If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,148
End Date
Jun 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 8:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Oklahoma. If no 2026 Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Oklahoma Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas" at 51%, followed by "Jim Priest" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 16, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jim Priest" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oklahoma Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.