Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the People Power Party (PPP) at modest gains of 1 seat (33%) or 3 seats (24%) in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections across at least 11 constituencies held alongside local elections, reflecting PPP's persistent internal turmoil including a mass resignation of its nomination committee last week and ongoing candidate shortages despite 13 recent applications. Plummeting approval ratings post-President Yoon's ouster continue to erode national momentum, favoring the dominant Democratic Party (DP), yet the tight clustering around low outcomes underscores competitive dynamics in PPP conservative strongholds like TK regions where local factors could yield pickups. Final separations may hinge on primary resolutions, emerging polls, or fresh scandals in the seven weeks ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
1 32.6%
3 22%
2 12%
0 9%
$24,706 Vol.
$24,706 Vol.
0
9%
1
32%
2
12%
3
25%
4
5%
5
1%
6+
<1%
1 32.6%
3 22%
2 12%
0 9%
$24,706 Vol.
$24,706 Vol.
0
9%
1
32%
2
12%
3
25%
4
5%
5
1%
6+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Market Opened: Feb 12, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of National Assembly seats won by the People Power Party (PP) in parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won by the People Power Party in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (http://nec.go.kr/site/nec/main.do).
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the People Power Party (PPP) at modest gains of 1 seat (33%) or 3 seats (24%) in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections across at least 11 constituencies held alongside local elections, reflecting PPP's persistent internal turmoil including a mass resignation of its nomination committee last week and ongoing candidate shortages despite 13 recent applications. Plummeting approval ratings post-President Yoon's ouster continue to erode national momentum, favoring the dominant Democratic Party (DP), yet the tight clustering around low outcomes underscores competitive dynamics in PPP conservative strongholds like TK regions where local factors could yield pickups. Final separations may hinge on primary resolutions, emerging polls, or fresh scandals in the seven weeks ahead.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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