**Preliminary escrutinio results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, with over 96% of mesas counted, project Pacto Histórico securing 25 seats in the 102-seat Senate via proportional representation and D'Hondt method allocation, cementing trader consensus at 96% for the 24-26 range as the largest bloc without a majority.** Strong urban turnout in Bogotá, Cali, and Barranquilla, where PH captured over 20% nationally, outperformed pre-election polls forecasting 18-21 curules, bolstered by incumbent President Petro's coalition momentum ahead of May's presidential vote. Final certification by Registraduría Nacional remains pending, but shifts are improbable barring recounts in marginal departments or legal challenges to vote validity, which could adjust totals by 1-2 seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated24-26 96.0%
27-29 1.1%
30+ <1%
<18 <1%
$121,579 Vol.
$121,579 Vol.
<18
<1%
18-20
<1%
21-23
<1%
24-26
96%
27-29
1%
30+
<1%
24-26 96.0%
27-29 1.1%
30+ <1%
<18 <1%
$121,579 Vol.
$121,579 Vol.
<18
<1%
18-20
<1%
21-23
<1%
24-26
96%
27-29
1%
30+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Market Opened: Mar 5, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Colombian Senate as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Pacto Historico in the Senate.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Preliminary escrutinio results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, with over 96% of mesas counted, project Pacto Histórico securing 25 seats in the 102-seat Senate via proportional representation and D'Hondt method allocation, cementing trader consensus at 96% for the 24-26 range as the largest bloc without a majority.** Strong urban turnout in Bogotá, Cali, and Barranquilla, where PH captured over 20% nationally, outperformed pre-election polls forecasting 18-21 curules, bolstered by incumbent President Petro's coalition momentum ahead of May's presidential vote. Final certification by Registraduría Nacional remains pending, but shifts are improbable barring recounts in marginal departments or legal challenges to vote validity, which could adjust totals by 1-2 seats.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions