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Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner

Duke Rodriguez 51%

Greg Hull 45%

Steve Lanier 1.1%

Susana Martinez 1.0%

Polymarket

$801,245 Vol.

Duke Rodriguez 51%

Greg Hull 45%

Steve Lanier 1.1%

Susana Martinez 1.0%

Polymarket

$801,245 Vol.

Duke Rodriguez

$8,394 Vol.

51%

Greg Hull

$120,494 Vol.

45%

Steve Lanier

$645,052 Vol.

1%

Susana Martinez

$8,722 Vol.

1%

John Sanchez

$2,347 Vol.

<1%

Brian Cillessen

$2,597 Vol.

<1%

Judith Nakamura

$6,058 Vol.

<1%

Belinda Robertson

$4,842 Vol.

<1%

Mark Murphy

$2,740 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Duke Rodriguez holds a narrow 51% implied probability in trader consensus for the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary, boosted by the New Mexico Supreme Court's April 1 ruling upholding his ballot eligibility amid challenges over petition signatures, solidifying his path as Ultra Health CEO with potential self-funding advantages. Rio Rancho Mayor Greg Hull trails closely at 45.5%, leveraging his top performance at the March GOP pre-primary convention where he secured the most delegate votes for automatic ballot placement. Absent public polls, the tight contest reflects divided party support ahead of the June 2 primary, with separation likely from endorsements, fundraising reports, candidate forums, or turnout among conservative voters focused on crime, economy, and business deregulation.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$801,245
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Duke Rodriguez holds a narrow 51% implied probability in trader consensus for the New Mexico Republican gubernatorial primary, boosted by the New Mexico Supreme Court's April 1 ruling upholding his ballot eligibility amid challenges over petition signatures, solidifying his path as Ultra Health CEO with potential self-funding advantages. Rio Rancho Mayor Greg Hull trails closely at 45.5%, leveraging his top performance at the March GOP pre-primary convention where he secured the most delegate votes for automatic ballot placement. Absent public polls, the tight contest reflects divided party support ahead of the June 2 primary, with separation likely from endorsements, fundraising reports, candidate forums, or turnout among conservative voters focused on crime, economy, and business deregulation.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$801,245
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Duke Rodriguez" at 51%, followed by "Greg Hull" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 51¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $801.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Duke Rodriguez" at 51%, meaning the market assigns a 51% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Greg Hull" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Mexico Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.