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Politics·Primaries

Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Charles Booker 81%

Amy McGrath 16%

Pamela Stevenson 1.4%

Joel Willett <1%

Polymarket

$22,475 Vol.

Charles Booker 81%

Amy McGrath 16%

Pamela Stevenson 1.4%

Joel Willett <1%

Polymarket

$22,475 Vol.

Charles Booker

$5,288 Vol.

81%

Amy McGrath

$4,525 Vol.

16%

Pamela Stevenson

$2,071 Vol.

1%

Joel Willett

$1,356 Vol.

1%

Jared Randall

$4,685 Vol.

1%

Dale Romans

$1,370 Vol.

<1%

Logan Forsythe

$1,991 Vol.

<1%

Vincent Thompson

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Charles Booker commands 80.5% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary market as trader consensus reflects recent polls, including Emerson College's early April survey, showing him leading the field ahead of the May 19 vote to succeed retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. His momentum stems from March labor union endorsements like IUE-CWA Local 83761, strong fundraising without self-funding or establishment backing, and grassroots appeal built from his narrow 2020 primary loss to Amy McGrath. McGrath holds 16% as the prior nominee and main challenger, buoyed by her military background and prior name recognition, while others like Pamela Stevenson trail amid low visibility and fragmented support in a low-turnout primary. Voter registration closes April 20, with early voting next month potentially solidifying leads.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$22,475
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Charles Booker commands 80.5% implied probability in the Kentucky Democratic Senate primary market as trader consensus reflects recent polls, including Emerson College's early April survey, showing him leading the field ahead of the May 19 vote to succeed retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. His momentum stems from March labor union endorsements like IUE-CWA Local 83761, strong fundraising without self-funding or establishment backing, and grassroots appeal built from his narrow 2020 primary loss to Amy McGrath. McGrath holds 16% as the prior nominee and main challenger, buoyed by her military background and prior name recognition, while others like Pamela Stevenson trail amid low visibility and fragmented support in a low-turnout primary. Voter registration closes April 20, with early voting next month potentially solidifying leads.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky.

If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$22,475
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Charles Booker" at 81%, followed by "Amy McGrath" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $22.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Charles Booker" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Amy McGrath" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.