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Politics·Primaries

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Zach Wahls 59%

Josh Turek 24%

Chris Henry 3.3%

Nathan Sage <1%

Polymarket

$12,825 Vol.

Zach Wahls 59%

Josh Turek 24%

Chris Henry 3.3%

Nathan Sage <1%

Polymarket

$12,825 Vol.

Zach Wahls

$4,180 Vol.

59%

Josh Turek

$3,134 Vol.

24%

Chris Henry

$1,212 Vol.

3%

Nathan Sage

$4,299 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors state Sen. Zach Wahls at 59% implied probability to win Iowa's June 2 Democratic U.S. Senate primary, reflecting recent Teamsters Local 238 polling showing him ahead of state Rep. Josh Turek (35%) by 18 points among likely voters, alongside earlier internals confirming his lead. GOP allies, including Rep. Ashley Hinson's camp, have circulated polls boosting Wahls as the preferred nominee they view as weaker in November's open-seat race to succeed retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. A joint forum last week intensified clashes, with Wahls criticizing Turek's alleged ties to Senate leadership and "dark money" while Turek emphasized his electability and prior Republican defeats. Minor candidates Chris Henry and Nathan Sage lag with negligible support and no recent momentum. Final endorsements and turnout will shape the closely contested primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,825
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors state Sen. Zach Wahls at 59% implied probability to win Iowa's June 2 Democratic U.S. Senate primary, reflecting recent Teamsters Local 238 polling showing him ahead of state Rep. Josh Turek (35%) by 18 points among likely voters, alongside earlier internals confirming his lead. GOP allies, including Rep. Ashley Hinson's camp, have circulated polls boosting Wahls as the preferred nominee they view as weaker in November's open-seat race to succeed retiring Sen. Joni Ernst. A joint forum last week intensified clashes, with Wahls criticizing Turek's alleged ties to Senate leadership and "dark money" while Turek emphasized his electability and prior Republican defeats. Minor candidates Chris Henry and Nathan Sage lag with negligible support and no recent momentum. Final endorsements and turnout will shape the closely contested primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,825
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zach Wahls" at 59%, followed by "Josh Turek" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $12.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Zach Wahls" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Josh Turek" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.