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Politics·Primaries

Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner

NEW
Polymarket
NEW

Jim Risch

$9,157 Vol.

97%

Joe Evans

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch commands 97% trader consensus in the Idaho Republican Senate primary due to his longstanding tenure since 2008, dominant fundraising with nearly $4 million cash on hand as of late 2025—dwarfing challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—and robust establishment backing in the deeply conservative state. Absentee ballots began mailing April 9 ahead of the May 19 primary and early voting starting April 27, but no primary polls exist to suggest competition, reinforcing historical incumbency advantages in low-turnout GOP primaries. While late scandals, health issues for the 83-year-old Risch, or a surprise endorsement surge could challenge this, such shifts remain improbable given resource gaps.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.

If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,157
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Jim Risch commands 97% trader consensus in the Idaho Republican Senate primary due to his longstanding tenure since 2008, dominant fundraising with nearly $4 million cash on hand as of late 2025—dwarfing challengers Joe Evans, Denny LaVe, and Josh Roy—and robust establishment backing in the deeply conservative state. Absentee ballots began mailing April 9 ahead of the May 19 primary and early voting starting April 27, but no primary polls exist to suggest competition, reinforcing historical incumbency advantages in low-turnout GOP primaries. While late scandals, health issues for the 83-year-old Risch, or a surprise endorsement surge could challenge this, such shifts remain improbable given resource gaps.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho.

If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,157
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Idaho. If no 2026 Idaho Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Idaho Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jim Risch" at 97%, followed by "Joe Evans" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 3, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Jim Risch" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joe Evans" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Idaho Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.