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Politics·Primaries

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner

Barry Moore 82%

Jared Hudson 13.7%

Steve Marshall 3.5%

Morgan Murphy 1.1%

Polymarket

$51,216 Vol.

Barry Moore 82%

Jared Hudson 13.7%

Steve Marshall 3.5%

Morgan Murphy 1.1%

Polymarket

$51,216 Vol.

Barry Moore

$12,627 Vol.

82%

Jared Hudson

$2,722 Vol.

14%

Steve Marshall

$10,105 Vol.

4%

Morgan Murphy

$23,358 Vol.

1%

Rodney Walker

$2,405 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Barry Moore holds commanding trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Alabama's open-seat Republican Senate primary on May 19, propelled by President Trump's February endorsement—valued by 60% of GOP primary voters per recent polling—and superior fundraising, boasting nearly double Attorney General Steve Marshall's totals plus Club for Growth super PAC ad buys exceeding $1 million. Despite high undecideds (35%) and a fragmented field, April polls like American Pulse (Moore 26%, Marshall 21%, Hudson 14%) show Moore maintaining a lead amid likely runoff dynamics if no candidate hits 50%. Navy SEAL Jared Hudson's 13.2% reflects grassroots gains to near-20% in late-March surveys, while Marshall fades to 3.5% on momentum loss; minor candidates trail due to limited visibility.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$51,216
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Barry Moore holds commanding trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability to win Alabama's open-seat Republican Senate primary on May 19, propelled by President Trump's February endorsement—valued by 60% of GOP primary voters per recent polling—and superior fundraising, boasting nearly double Attorney General Steve Marshall's totals plus Club for Growth super PAC ad buys exceeding $1 million. Despite high undecideds (35%) and a fragmented field, April polls like American Pulse (Moore 26%, Marshall 21%, Hudson 14%) show Moore maintaining a lead amid likely runoff dynamics if no candidate hits 50%. Navy SEAL Jared Hudson's 13.2% reflects grassroots gains to near-20% in late-March surveys, while Marshall fades to 3.5% on momentum loss; minor candidates trail due to limited visibility.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.

If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$51,216
End Date
May 19, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama. If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Barry Moore" at 82%, followed by "Jared Hudson" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $51.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Barry Moore" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jared Hudson" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alabama Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.