US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

28%

$58.6K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

55%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$47.7K Liq.

51

Ends in 3 months

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

30%

$12.4K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

25%

$223K Vol.

$12.0K Liq.

16

Ends in 3 months

US strike on Cuba by...?

US strike on Cuba by...?

34%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$37.9K Liq.

53

Ends in 9 months

Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North ACE Masters Group B

Valorant: Contra vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North ACE Masters Group B

63%

Contra

$28 Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in about 17 hours

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

29%

$141K Vol.

$27.2K Liq.

7

Ends in 9 months

Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season

88%

Joblife

$85 Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Fabiano Caruana vs. Praggnanandhaa R - FIDE Candidates 2026 Open (Round 13)

Fabiano Caruana vs. Praggnanandhaa R - FIDE Candidates 2026 Open (Round 13)

69%

Draw (Fabiano Caruana vs. Praggnanandhaa R)

$79 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Zhongyi Tan vs. Rameshbabu Vaishali - FIDE Candidates 2026 Women (Round 13)

Zhongyi Tan vs. Rameshbabu Vaishali - FIDE Candidates 2026 Women (Round 13)

60%

Draw (Zhongyi Tan vs. Rameshbabu Vaishali)

$118 Vol.

$623 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

36%

$70.8K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

CTRL Esports

$3.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group A

Valorant: Eternal Fire Passion vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group A

56%

Eternal Fire Passion

$12.1K Vol.

$18.6K Liq.

Ends in about 7 hours

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

100%

60-65%

$2M Vol.

$258K Liq.

500

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

33%

Audias Flores-Silva

$13.2K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

2

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

90%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$390K today

$374K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

BPL: Durbar Rajshahi vs Sylhet Strikers (Game Qualifier 2) - Team Top Batter

BPL: Durbar Rajshahi vs Sylhet Strikers (Game Qualifier 2) - Team Top Batter

-

$161 Vol.

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Natus Vincere vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season

79%

ONIC

$22 Vol.

$285 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

BPL: Sylhet Strikers vs Chattogram Challengers (Game 1) - Most Sixes

BPL: Sylhet Strikers vs Chattogram Challengers (Game 1) - Most Sixes

-

$6.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega

52%

EDward Gaming

$122 Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fidel.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for Fidel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Cuban regime falls in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to Orbán - Hungary PM. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fidel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.