Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person meeting between President Trump and President Putin by June 30, reflecting the absence of any announced summit plans amid stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks following their fruitless August 2025 Alaska summit. Recent diplomatic contacts, including Russian special envoy Kirill Dmitriev's April 9 meetings with Trump administration officials on sanctions relief and energy issues after a March phone call, have not progressed to leader-level engagements. Putin's overtures to mediate US-Iran tensions were rebuffed by Trump, while the president's focus shifts to a May Beijing summit with Xi Jinping. Geopolitical frictions, including NATO criticisms and Ukraine aid debates, further diminish near-term summit prospects, with neutral venues like Turkey or Gulf states seeing minimal odds absent breakthroughs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 86.7%
Russia 3.9%
Other EU country 2.6%
Other 1.9%
$4,893,207 Vol.
$4,893,207 Vol.

No meeting by June 30
87%

Russia
4%

Other EU country
3%

Other
2%

China
2%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
<1%

Finland
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

South Korea
<1%
No meeting by June 30 86.7%
Russia 3.9%
Other EU country 2.6%
Other 1.9%
$4,893,207 Vol.
$4,893,207 Vol.

No meeting by June 30
87%

Russia
4%

Other EU country
3%

Other
2%

China
2%

Turkey
1%

Gulf country
1%

United States
1%

Switzerland
1%

Belarus
1%

Ukraine
<1%

Finland
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

South Korea
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no in-person meeting between President Trump and President Putin by June 30, reflecting the absence of any announced summit plans amid stalled Russia-Ukraine peace talks following their fruitless August 2025 Alaska summit. Recent diplomatic contacts, including Russian special envoy Kirill Dmitriev's April 9 meetings with Trump administration officials on sanctions relief and energy issues after a March phone call, have not progressed to leader-level engagements. Putin's overtures to mediate US-Iran tensions were rebuffed by Trump, while the president's focus shifts to a May Beijing summit with Xi Jinping. Geopolitical frictions, including NATO criticisms and Ukraine aid debates, further diminish near-term summit prospects, with neutral venues like Turkey or Gulf states seeing minimal odds absent breakthroughs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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