Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 92.5% in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul's consistent polling edge over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, including a 47%-34% lead in the latest Siena survey (March 23-26) among registered voters and a favorable 52%-35% Democratic generic ballot tilt. Hochul's job approval has reached its highest in over four years per recent Marist polling, bolstered by clearing Democratic primary challengers like Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado and New York's lopsided voter registration advantage (roughly 6 million Democrats vs. 2.5 million Republicans). Republicans last won statewide in 2002. Potential shifts could arise from scandals hitting Hochul, Blakeman's Trump endorsement mobilizing turnout in suburbs, or national midterm dynamics ahead of June 23 primaries and the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNew York Governor Election Winner
New York Governor Election Winner
$51,412 Vol.
$51,412 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
7%
$51,412 Vol.
$51,412 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$26,233 Vol.
93%
Republican
$25,178 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 92.5% in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul's consistent polling edge over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, including a 47%-34% lead in the latest Siena survey (March 23-26) among registered voters and a favorable 52%-35% Democratic generic ballot tilt. Hochul's job approval has reached its highest in over four years per recent Marist polling, bolstered by clearing Democratic primary challengers like Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado and New York's lopsided voter registration advantage (roughly 6 million Democrats vs. 2.5 million Republicans). Republicans last won statewide in 2002. Potential shifts could arise from scandals hitting Hochul, Blakeman's Trump endorsement mobilizing turnout in suburbs, or national midterm dynamics ahead of June 23 primaries and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Volume
$51,412End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 92.5% in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul's consistent polling edge over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, including a 47%-34% lead in the latest Siena survey (March 23-26) among registered voters and a favorable 52%-35% Democratic generic ballot tilt. Hochul's job approval has reached its highest in over four years per recent Marist polling, bolstered by clearing Democratic primary challengers like Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado and New York's lopsided voter registration advantage (roughly 6 million Democrats vs. 2.5 million Republicans). Republicans last won statewide in 2002. Potential shifts could arise from scandals hitting Hochul, Blakeman's Trump endorsement mobilizing turnout in suburbs, or national midterm dynamics ahead of June 23 primaries and the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$51,412End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Democratic victory at 92.5% in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, driven by incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul's consistent polling edge over Republican Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman, including a 47%-34% lead in the latest Siena survey (March 23-26) among registered voters and a favorable 52%-35% Democratic generic ballot tilt. Hochul's job approval has reached its highest in over four years per recent Marist polling, bolstered by clearing Democratic primary challengers like Lt. Gov. Antonio Delgado and New York's lopsided voter registration advantage (roughly 6 million Democrats vs. 2.5 million Republicans). Republicans last won statewide in 2002. Potential shifts could arise from scandals hitting Hochul, Blakeman's Trump endorsement mobilizing turnout in suburbs, or national midterm dynamics ahead of June 23 primaries and the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions