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Politics·Senate Primary

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Senate Primary

New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner

Alex Zdan 50%

Richard Tabor 43%

Robert Lebovics 3.5%

Justin Murphy 2.7%

Polymarket

$409,706 Vol.

Alex Zdan 50%

Richard Tabor 43%

Robert Lebovics 3.5%

Justin Murphy 2.7%

Polymarket

$409,706 Vol.

Alex Zdan

$3,210 Vol.

50%

Richard Tabor

$4,501 Vol.

43%

Robert Lebovics

$254,629 Vol.

4%

Justin Murphy

$6,284 Vol.

3%

Steven Boston

$80,619 Vol.

1%

Natalie Rivera

$44,211 Vol.

<1%

Vinnie Brand

$15,085 Vol.

<1%

Alina Habba

$1,167 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus gives Alex Zdan a narrow 50% edge over Richard Tabor at 42.5% in the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary on June 2, reflecting a closely contested race driven by split county GOP endorsements—Zdan holding Passaic, Monmouth, Cumberland, Salem, and Mercer support, while Tabor secured Atlantic, Hunterdon, and Somerset. Tabor's recent suspension without pay from the New Jersey State Police, amid rules barring active troopers from partisan runs, introduces fresh uncertainty just weeks before mail ballots begin, potentially denting his military veteran appeal despite claims of Democratic interference. Absent public polls, the lack of separation favors Zdan's media background for visibility; national endorsements, FEC fundraising disclosures due soon, or debates could tip the balance in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$409,706
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus gives Alex Zdan a narrow 50% edge over Richard Tabor at 42.5% in the New Jersey Republican U.S. Senate primary on June 2, reflecting a closely contested race driven by split county GOP endorsements—Zdan holding Passaic, Monmouth, Cumberland, Salem, and Mercer support, while Tabor secured Atlantic, Hunterdon, and Somerset. Tabor's recent suspension without pay from the New Jersey State Police, amid rules barring active troopers from partisan runs, introduces fresh uncertainty just weeks before mail ballots begin, potentially denting his military veteran appeal despite claims of Democratic interference. Absent public polls, the lack of separation favors Zdan's media background for visibility; national endorsements, FEC fundraising disclosures due soon, or debates could tip the balance in this low-turnout primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$409,706
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 12:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Republican party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alex Zdan" at 50%, followed by "Richard Tabor" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" has generated $409.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" is "Alex Zdan" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Richard Tabor" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Jersey Republican Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.