Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands 81.5% trader consensus in the GA-09 Republican primary set for May 19, reflecting strong incumbency advantages in this deep-red northeast Georgia district, including superior name recognition, fundraising estimated at over $1.3 million collectively, and historical base rates favoring sitting members. Challengers former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon (14.5%) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole (5.5%) position as homegrown alternatives criticizing Clyde as an outsider from South Carolina, gaining visibility from the March 23 district GOP debate. Couvillon's edge stems from a recent April 9 super PAC ad buy by Georgia Conservative Alliance opposing Clyde, but absent polls or major endorsements shifting momentum, traders see limited upset potential before early voting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGA-09 Republican Primary Winner
GA-09 Republican Primary Winner
Andrew Clyde 82%
Sam Couvillon 15%
Gregg Poole 5%
Andrew Clyde
82%
Sam Couvillon
15%
Gregg Poole
5%
Andrew Clyde 82%
Sam Couvillon 15%
Gregg Poole 5%
Andrew Clyde
82%
Sam Couvillon
15%
Gregg Poole
5%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Andrew Clyde commands 81.5% trader consensus in the GA-09 Republican primary set for May 19, reflecting strong incumbency advantages in this deep-red northeast Georgia district, including superior name recognition, fundraising estimated at over $1.3 million collectively, and historical base rates favoring sitting members. Challengers former Gainesville Mayor Sam Couvillon (14.5%) and Hall County Commissioner Gregg Poole (5.5%) position as homegrown alternatives criticizing Clyde as an outsider from South Carolina, gaining visibility from the March 23 district GOP debate. Couvillon's edge stems from a recent April 9 super PAC ad buy by Georgia Conservative Alliance opposing Clyde, but absent polls or major endorsements shifting momentum, traders see limited upset potential before early voting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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