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Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Bernadette Wilson 31%

Tom Begich 27%

Treg Taylor 16.4%

Nancy Dahlstrom 11.8%

Polymarket

$817,452 Vol.

Bernadette Wilson 31%

Tom Begich 27%

Treg Taylor 16.4%

Nancy Dahlstrom 11.8%

Polymarket

$817,452 Vol.

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Bernadette Wilson

$145,353 Vol.

31%

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Tom Begich

$100,724 Vol.

27%

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Treg Taylor

$8,548 Vol.

16%

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Nancy Dahlstrom

$107,807 Vol.

12%

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Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$3,729 Vol.

4%

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David Bronson

$6,591 Vol.

3%

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Click Bishop

$5,653 Vol.

2%

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Matt Claman

$3,674 Vol.

1%

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Lisa Murkowski

$12,720 Vol.

<1%

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Adam Crum

$34,657 Vol.

<1%

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Edna DeVries

$4,467 Vol.

<1%

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Mary Peltola

$322,440 Vol.

<1%

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Matt Heilala

$26,164 Vol.

<1%

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Shelley Hughes

$5,209 Vol.

<1%

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Hank Kroll

$1,694 Vol.

<1%

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James Parkin

$24,990 Vol.

<1%

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Bruce Walden

$3,033 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.With term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy out, Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Republican field challenging Democrats in the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, where the top vote-getters advance to a ranked-choice general election on November 3. A March 19-22 Alaska Survey Research poll of 1,061 likely voters showed Democrat Tom Begich leading the first round at 19.4%, ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 13.6%, but trader consensus on Polymarket implies Wilson's slight edge to consolidate support through ranked-choice rounds in the Republican-leaning state. The race stays tight due to GOP vote-splitting among Wilson, ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor, and Nancy Dahlstrom, with early March candidate forums and June 1 filing deadline as key upcoming catalysts for separation via endorsements or fundraising reveals.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$817,452
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.With term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy out, Alaska's open 2026 gubernatorial race features a crowded Republican field challenging Democrats in the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, where the top vote-getters advance to a ranked-choice general election on November 3. A March 19-22 Alaska Survey Research poll of 1,061 likely voters showed Democrat Tom Begich leading the first round at 19.4%, ahead of Republican Bernadette Wilson at 13.6%, but trader consensus on Polymarket implies Wilson's slight edge to consolidate support through ranked-choice rounds in the Republican-leaning state. The race stays tight due to GOP vote-splitting among Wilson, ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor, and Nancy Dahlstrom, with early March candidate forums and June 1 filing deadline as key upcoming catalysts for separation via endorsements or fundraising reveals.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$817,452
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alaska Governor Election Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 31%, followed by "Tom Begich" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alaska Governor Election Winner " has generated $817.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alaska Governor Election Winner ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " is "Bernadette Wilson" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tom Begich" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.