Market icon
Geopolitics·Middle East

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Market icon
Geopolitics·Middle East

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

$557,674 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$557,674 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$14,688 Vol.

4%

June 30

$131,439 Vol.

21%

December 31

$123,003 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and regional war involving Israel, President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office despite unverified mid-March reports from Israeli media alleging resignation attempts thwarted by IRGC dominance and inaccessibility to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. These claims, amplified on social media, stemmed from Pezeshkian's reformist push for de-escalation—including neighbor apologies, ceasefire endorsements, and an April open letter to Americans—clashing with hardliner military stances. Recent diplomatic signals, like Putin mediation offers and stalled US talks led by JD Vance, underscore his active role, though internal rifts persist. Traders eye upcoming negotiations and IRGC pressures as potential catalysts for leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$557,674
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 3:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and regional war involving Israel, President Masoud Pezeshkian remains in office despite unverified mid-March reports from Israeli media alleging resignation attempts thwarted by IRGC dominance and inaccessibility to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. These claims, amplified on social media, stemmed from Pezeshkian's reformist push for de-escalation—including neighbor apologies, ceasefire endorsements, and an April open letter to Americans—clashing with hardliner military stances. Recent diplomatic signals, like Putin mediation offers and stalled US talks led by JD Vance, underscore his active role, though internal rifts persist. Traders eye upcoming negotiations and IRGC pressures as potential catalysts for leadership change.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$557,674
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 3:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Iran leadership change by December 31?

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Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 31%, followed by "June 30" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" has generated $557.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" is "December 31" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.