Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

Market icon
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

May 1

Jun 1

May 1

Jun 1

1320-1359 10.2%

1360-1399 10.1%

1440-1479 9.0%

1280-1319 8.7%

Polymarket

$194,706 Vol.

1320-1359 10.2%

1360-1399 10.1%

1440-1479 9.0%

1280-1319 8.7%

Polymarket

$194,706 Vol.

<20

$12,319 Vol.

<1%

20-39

$11,876 Vol.

<1%

40-59

$6,948 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$14,539 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$6,164 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$4,738 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$2,474 Vol.

<1%

140-159

$4,696 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$5,638 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$4,271 Vol.

<1%

200-219

$3,802 Vol.

<1%

220-239

$6,089 Vol.

<1%

240-259

$6,349 Vol.

<1%

260-279

$5,619 Vol.

<1%

280-299

$2,550 Vol.

<1%

300-319

$4,000 Vol.

<1%

320-339

$7,167 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$2,410 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$2,329 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$3,045 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$3,132 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$2,724 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$2,724 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$3,284 Vol.

1%

480-499

$7,028 Vol.

<1%

500-519

$3,812 Vol.

<1%

520-539

$2,357 Vol.

<1%

540-559

$1,621 Vol.

<1%

560-579

$1,607 Vol.

<1%

580-599

$2,580 Vol.

<1%

600-619

$772 Vol.

<1%

620-639

$1,032 Vol.

<1%

640-659

$724 Vol.

<1%

660-679

$1,931 Vol.

<1%

680-699

$1,480 Vol.

<1%

700-719

$322 Vol.

<1%

720-739

$582 Vol.

<1%

740-759

$262 Vol.

<1%

760-779

$1,149 Vol.

1%

780-799

$695 Vol.

<1%

800-839

$468 Vol.

<1%

840-879

$671 Vol.

1%

880-919

$986 Vol.

1%

920-959

$658 Vol.

1%

960-999

$1,357 Vol.

3%

1000-1039

$991 Vol.

2%

1040-1079

$1,430 Vol.

5%

1080-1119

$1,144 Vol.

5%

1120-1159

$985 Vol.

5%

1160-1199

$1,860 Vol.

7%

1200-1239

$1,272 Vol.

8%

1240-1279

$1,826 Vol.

8%

1280-1319

$3,255 Vol.

9%

1320-1359

$2,658 Vol.

10%

1360-1399

$2,740 Vol.

10%

1400-1439

$2,249 Vol.

8%

1440-1479

$1,893 Vol.

9%

1480-1519

$962 Vol.

5%

1520-1559

$917 Vol.

5%

1560-1599

$916 Vol.

3%

1600-1679

$1,110 Vol.

3%

1680-1759

$1,615 Vol.

2%

1760-1839

$1,287 Vol.

1%

1840-1919

$1,050 Vol.

<1%

1920-1999

$1,221 Vol.

<1%

2000+

$2,346 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1320-1399 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, implying a steady 42-45 posts per day, mirroring his recent pace from resolved markets and trackers showing March weekly hauls of 200-350 and early April averages of 35-40 daily. This tight race among top bins reflects stable patterns amid no major disruptions in the past month, with Musk maintaining high engagement on X through tech updates, political commentary, and viral replies. Key swing factors include potential spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or xAI announcements—common catalysts for 50+ post days—versus quieter periods if focused on government advisory roles. Watch for April's full count as the final benchmark before May kicks off.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$194,706
End Date
Jun 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 1320-1399 tweets for Elon Musk in May 2026, implying a steady 42-45 posts per day, mirroring his recent pace from resolved markets and trackers showing March weekly hauls of 200-350 and early April averages of 35-40 daily. This tight race among top bins reflects stable patterns amid no major disruptions in the past month, with Musk maintaining high engagement on X through tech updates, political commentary, and viral replies. Key swing factors include potential spikes from Tesla earnings, SpaceX launches, or xAI announcements—common catalysts for 50+ post days—versus quieter periods if focused on government advisory roles. Watch for April's full count as the final benchmark before May kicks off.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$194,706
End Date
Jun 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1320-1359" at 10%, followed by "1360-1399" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 10¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?" has generated $194.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?" is "1320-1359" at 10%, meaning the market assigns a 10% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1360-1399" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.