Oust predictions & odds

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Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

17%

Dong Jun

$120K Vol.

$144K Liq.

14

Ends in 9 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

90%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$387K today

$365K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

42%

December 31

$159K Vol.

$35.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

53%

April 30

$729K Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

326

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

47%

April 30

$253K Vol.

$253K today

$59.1K Liq.

12

Ends in 16 days

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

56%

$489K Vol.

$49.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?

6%

$100K Vol.

$20.3K Liq.

14

Ends in about 1 month

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

4%

$81.9K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 16 days

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

4%

June 30

$389K Vol.

$57.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzalez, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

9%

$8 Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?

Eric Swalwell out as US Rep by May 31?

52%

$358 Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

5%

April 30

$447K Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

93

Ends in 16 days

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?

29%

April 30

$78.5K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

What will Trump post this week? (April 13 - April 19)

What will Trump post this week? (April 13 - April 19)

90%

Military Operation

$18.6K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

What will Trump post this week? (April 6 - April 12)

3%

Ass / Shit

$411K Vol.

$349K today

$51.1K Liq.

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

21%

$12.6K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?

7%

$24.6K Vol.

$22.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

13%

$60.8K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

40%

June 30

$233K Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

27

Ends in 16 days

MegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?

MegaETH FDV above ___ one day after launch?

86%

$500M

$2.0K Vol.

$53.1K Liq.

1

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Oust.

Polymarket currently hosts 575 active markets for Oust that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Next leader out of power before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 90% chance to Orbán - Hungary PM. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Oust predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.