Gaza predictions & odds

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Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

39%

Somaliland

$500K Vol.

$94.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

1%

April 10

$1M Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

13%

$64.5K Vol.

$24.5K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

25%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$11.5K Liq.

351

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

53%

$97.8K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%

June 30

$441K Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

51%

December 31

$511K Vol.

$5.9K Liq.

8

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

29%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

975

Ends in 3 months

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

63%

$62.8K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

5

Ends in 3 months

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

20%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$14.3K Liq.

156

Ends in 3 months

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

5%

$85.6K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

14

Ends in 3 months

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

51%

December 31

$106K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

3

Ends in 9 months

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

16%

$47.3K Vol.

$8.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

24%

$21.3K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?

27%

$9.3K Vol.

$7.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gaza.

Polymarket currently hosts 15 active markets for Gaza that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $11.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 29% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gaza predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.