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Politics·Primaries

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Eric Chung 67%

Tim Greimel 21%

Christina Hines 6%

Tripp Adams 1.3%

Polymarket

$40,599 Vol.

Eric Chung 67%

Tim Greimel 21%

Christina Hines 6%

Tripp Adams 1.3%

Polymarket

$40,599 Vol.

Eric Chung

$3,325 Vol.

67%

Tim Greimel

$29,803 Vol.

27%

Christina Hines

$2,865 Vol.

11%

Tripp Adams

$2,558 Vol.

1%

Brian Jaye

$2,048 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors former Commerce Department attorney Eric Chung at 66.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his early fundraising dominance—over $265,000 raised in Q3 2025, outpacing rivals—and appeal as son of an auto worker focused on manufacturing revival in this Macomb-Oakland battleground. Former Pontiac Mayor Tim Greimel holds 26% on strong local roots as ex-House Democratic Leader and labor attorney, positioning him for union backing in a district with working-class voters. Prosecutor Christina Hines trails at 10.5% despite EMILY's List endorsement and a January PPP poll showing her narrowly leading top GOP contender Mike Bouchard in general matchups, while Tripp Adams (1.1%) and Brian Jaye (0.3%) lag amid a fluid field. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,599
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors former Commerce Department attorney Eric Chung at 66.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 10th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his early fundraising dominance—over $265,000 raised in Q3 2025, outpacing rivals—and appeal as son of an auto worker focused on manufacturing revival in this Macomb-Oakland battleground. Former Pontiac Mayor Tim Greimel holds 26% on strong local roots as ex-House Democratic Leader and labor attorney, positioning him for union backing in a district with working-class voters. Prosecutor Christina Hines trails at 10.5% despite EMILY's List endorsement and a January PPP poll showing her narrowly leading top GOP contender Mike Bouchard in general matchups, while Tripp Adams (1.1%) and Brian Jaye (0.3%) lag amid a fluid field. No major developments in the past 30 days have shifted dynamics ahead of the open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,599
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eric Chung" at 67%, followed by "Tim Greimel" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $40.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Eric Chung" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tim Greimel" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-10 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.