Market icon
Geopolitics·Middle East

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Market icon
Geopolitics·Middle East

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

$558,496 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$558,496 Vol.

Polymarket

April 30

$14,691 Vol.

4%

June 30

$131,448 Vol.

21%

December 31

$123,814 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, a reformist elected in 2024, continues to hold office amid heightened regional tensions and internal political friction as of April 2026. Recent developments include his April 1 open letter to the American public urging de-escalation beyond "distortions" during ongoing war, a national address on April 3 following U.S.-Israeli infrastructure strikes, and a April 12 call with Russian President Putin offering mediation for U.S.-Iran talks. Trader sentiment reflects earlier March rumors of his removal after airstrikes—prompting a brief interim leadership council and reports of Vice President takeover—alongside rifts with IRGC commander Ahmad Vahidi and hardliner backlash over apologies to Gulf states. Upcoming events like potential Pakistan-mediated negotiations and U.S. naval blockade threats under Trump could test his authority, given parliament's impeachment powers and Supreme Leader oversight.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$558,496
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 3:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, a reformist elected in 2024, continues to hold office amid heightened regional tensions and internal political friction as of April 2026. Recent developments include his April 1 open letter to the American public urging de-escalation beyond "distortions" during ongoing war, a national address on April 3 following U.S.-Israeli infrastructure strikes, and a April 12 call with Russian President Putin offering mediation for U.S.-Iran talks. Trader sentiment reflects earlier March rumors of his removal after airstrikes—prompting a brief interim leadership council and reports of Vice President takeover—alongside rifts with IRGC commander Ahmad Vahidi and hardliner backlash over apologies to Gulf states. Upcoming events like potential Pakistan-mediated negotiations and U.S. naval blockade threats under Trump could test his authority, given parliament's impeachment powers and Supreme Leader oversight.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$558,496
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 3:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Masoud Pezeshkian ceases to be President of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Masoud Pezeshkian's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Masoud Pezeshkian and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 31%, followed by "June 30" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" has generated $558.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" is "December 31" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "June 30" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.