Market icon

Margot Robbie divorce by June 30?

Market icon

Margot Robbie divorce by June 30?

3% chance
Polymarket
NEW
3% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 96.7% for Margot Robbie divorcing Tom Ackerley by June 30, reflecting the couple's rock-solid 10-year marriage since 2016, bolstered by their young son born in 2024 and recent joint red-carpet appearances, including the January 29 Wuthering Heights premiere where Ackerley supported Robbie. Absent any official statements, legal filings, or verified reports of separation—despite fleeting tabloid speculation over her on-screen chemistry with co-star Jacob Elordi—traders view their LuckyChap Entertainment partnership and private family life as strong stabilizers. Realistic upsets remain slim but could stem from unforeseen personal pressures, though historical patterns for low-profile Hollywood unions like theirs suggest enduring stability ahead of the market's June deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$513
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "No" at 96.7% for Margot Robbie divorcing Tom Ackerley by June 30, reflecting the couple's rock-solid 10-year marriage since 2016, bolstered by their young son born in 2024 and recent joint red-carpet appearances, including the January 29 Wuthering Heights premiere where Ackerley supported Robbie. Absent any official statements, legal filings, or verified reports of separation—despite fleeting tabloid speculation over her on-screen chemistry with co-star Jacob Elordi—traders view their LuckyChap Entertainment partnership and private family life as strong stabilizers. Realistic upsets remain slim but could stem from unforeseen personal pressures, though historical patterns for low-profile Hollywood unions like theirs suggest enduring stability ahead of the market's June deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Volume
$513
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 26, 2026, 5:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Margot Robbie and/or Tom Ackerley, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Related

Market icon

Amouranth divorced by June 30?

11%
Market icon

Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?

42%
Market icon

Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?

2%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Margot Robbie divorce by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 3% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 3¢, the market collectively assigns a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Margot Robbie divorce by June 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Margot Robbie divorce by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Margot Robbie divorce by June 30?" is 3% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 3% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Margot Robbie divorce by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.