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What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?

Market icon

What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?

Cold Water <1%

Peaches <1%

10,000 Hours <1%

Baby <1%

Polymarket

$74,182 Vol.

Cold Water <1%

Peaches <1%

10,000 Hours <1%

Baby <1%

Polymarket

$74,182 Vol.

Cold Water

$9,652 Vol.

No

Peaches

$5,787 Vol.

No

10,000 Hours

$1,651 Vol.

No

Baby

$9,816 Vol.

No

Where Are Ü Now

$5,649 Vol.

No

Beauty and a Beat

$7,875 Vol.

No

Let Me Love You

$1,680 Vol.

No

Ghost

$4,358 Vol.

No

Sorry

$762 Vol.

No

What Do You Mean?

$23,840 Vol.

No

Love Yourself

$801 Vol.

No

Boyfriend

$2,311 Vol.

No

Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella. To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects extreme fragmentation in predicting Justin Bieber's Coachella opener, with leading classics like 10,000 Hours, Let Me Love You, Ghost, and Boyfriend clustered at 0.1% implied probabilities amid his SWAG-era comeback push. Recent private concerts opened with "All I Can Take," signaling preference for fresh tracks from his Grammy-nominated album over peak-era hits, while rehearsal leaks and fan nostalgia fuel speculation on crowd-pleasing debuts like Boyfriend. Absent official setlist confirmation, competitive dynamics hinge on Bieber's promotional strategy blending new streaming momentum with historical chart-toppers; key differentiators include surprise guests (e.g., The Kid Laroi) and set evolution patterns from his four-year U.S. stage hiatus. Weekend 2 (April 17-19) looms as the resolution catalyst, where late tweaks could favor upsets.

Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella.

To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$74,182
End Date
Apr 18, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella. To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella. To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects extreme fragmentation in predicting Justin Bieber's Coachella opener, with leading classics like 10,000 Hours, Let Me Love You, Ghost, and Boyfriend clustered at 0.1% implied probabilities amid his SWAG-era comeback push. Recent private concerts opened with "All I Can Take," signaling preference for fresh tracks from his Grammy-nominated album over peak-era hits, while rehearsal leaks and fan nostalgia fuel speculation on crowd-pleasing debuts like Boyfriend. Absent official setlist confirmation, competitive dynamics hinge on Bieber's promotional strategy blending new streaming momentum with historical chart-toppers; key differentiators include surprise guests (e.g., The Kid Laroi) and set evolution patterns from his four-year U.S. stage hiatus. Weekend 2 (April 17-19) looms as the resolution catalyst, where late tweaks could favor upsets.

Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella.

To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$74,182
End Date
Apr 18, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Justin Bieber is scheduled to perform at Coachella on April 11 and April 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the first song played by Justin Bieber at Coachella. To qualify as "played" a Justin Bieber must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the 2026 Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cold Water" at 0%, followed by "Peaches" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" has generated $74.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" is "Cold Water" at just 0%, with "Peaches" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "What song will Justin Bieber play first at Coachella?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.