Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 46%, driven by persistent legal challenges and implementation hurdles following the program's late-2025 launch via Executive Order 14351. Despite 70,000 estimated applicants and early claims of $1.3 billion in 2025 sales, March 2026 reports highlight low uptake, with no verified approvals or public sales figures released for the year to date amid USCIS vetting delays, EB-1/EB-2 visa caps, and lawsuits questioning the $1 million gift model's legality. The next tier, 1-100 cards at 16.4%, reflects cautious optimism for minimal issuances if litigation resolves favorably, though national security reviews and processing backlogs pose ongoing risks through year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
0 46%
1-100 22.5%
2.5k-5k 7.1%
1k-2.5k 6.0%
$135,399 Vol.
$135,399 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
46%
1-100
18%
101-1k
3%
1k-2.5k
6%
2.5k-5k
7%
5k-10k
3%
10k-25k
4%
25k-100k
4%
>100k
5%
0 46%
1-100 22.5%
2.5k-5k 7.1%
1k-2.5k 6.0%
$135,399 Vol.
$135,399 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
0
$26,461 Vol.
46%
1-100
$10,638 Vol.
18%
101-1k
$5,038 Vol.
3%
1k-2.5k
$7,571 Vol.
6%
2.5k-5k
$4,527 Vol.
7%
5k-10k
$5,419 Vol.
3%
10k-25k
$55,562 Vol.
4%
25k-100k
$5,308 Vol.
4%
>100k
$14,876 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 46%, driven by persistent legal challenges and implementation hurdles following the program's late-2025 launch via Executive Order 14351. Despite 70,000 estimated applicants and early claims of $1.3 billion in 2025 sales, March 2026 reports highlight low uptake, with no verified approvals or public sales figures released for the year to date amid USCIS vetting delays, EB-1/EB-2 visa caps, and lawsuits questioning the $1 million gift model's legality. The next tier, 1-100 cards at 16.4%, reflects cautious optimism for minimal issuances if litigation resolves favorably, though national security reviews and processing backlogs pose ongoing risks through year-end resolution.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Volume
$135,399End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 46%, driven by persistent legal challenges and implementation hurdles following the program's late-2025 launch via Executive Order 14351. Despite 70,000 estimated applicants and early claims of $1.3 billion in 2025 sales, March 2026 reports highlight low uptake, with no verified approvals or public sales figures released for the year to date amid USCIS vetting delays, EB-1/EB-2 visa caps, and lawsuits questioning the $1 million gift model's legality. The next tier, 1-100 cards at 16.4%, reflects cautious optimism for minimal issuances if litigation resolves favorably, though national security reviews and processing backlogs pose ongoing risks through year-end resolution.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$135,399End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors zero Trump Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 46%, driven by persistent legal challenges and implementation hurdles following the program's late-2025 launch via Executive Order 14351. Despite 70,000 estimated applicants and early claims of $1.3 billion in 2025 sales, March 2026 reports highlight low uptake, with no verified approvals or public sales figures released for the year to date amid USCIS vetting delays, EB-1/EB-2 visa caps, and lawsuits questioning the $1 million gift model's legality. The next tier, 1-100 cards at 16.4%, reflects cautious optimism for minimal issuances if litigation resolves favorably, though national security reviews and processing backlogs pose ongoing risks through year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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