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Politics·Primaries

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Josh Tenorio 56%

Therese Terlaje 34%

Joe S. San Agustin 3.9%

Polymarket

$12,388 Vol.

Josh Tenorio 56%

Therese Terlaje 34%

Joe S. San Agustin 3.9%

Polymarket

$12,388 Vol.

Josh Tenorio

$8,620 Vol.

55%

Therese Terlaje

$1,735 Vol.

34%

Joe S. San Agustin

$2,033 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Josh Tenorio holds a trader consensus edge at 55% implied probability to win Guam's Democratic primary for governor on August 1, bolstered by his executive experience, frequent acting governor role, and early December 2025 campaign launch with Sen. Tina Muna Barnes. Sen. Therese Terlaje surged to 32% after announcing her ticket with Sen. Sabina Perez on April 10, vowing to combat corruption and prioritize public interests over special ones, capitalizing on her status as a top vote-getter in recent legislative races. Sen. Joe S. San Agustin lags at 4%, reflecting limited momentum despite early February filing. A February dispute between Tenorio and Terlaje over deep-sea mining access underscores primary tensions, with no recent polls available to shift the closely contested odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,388
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Josh Tenorio holds a trader consensus edge at 55% implied probability to win Guam's Democratic primary for governor on August 1, bolstered by his executive experience, frequent acting governor role, and early December 2025 campaign launch with Sen. Tina Muna Barnes. Sen. Therese Terlaje surged to 32% after announcing her ticket with Sen. Sabina Perez on April 10, vowing to combat corruption and prioritize public interests over special ones, capitalizing on her status as a top vote-getter in recent legislative races. Sen. Joe S. San Agustin lags at 4%, reflecting limited momentum despite early February filing. A February dispute between Tenorio and Terlaje over deep-sea mining access underscores primary tensions, with no recent polls available to shift the closely contested odds.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,388
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Tenorio" at 55%, followed by "Therese Terlaje" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 55¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Josh Tenorio" at 55%, meaning the market assigns a 55% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Therese Terlaje" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Guam Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.