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Eurovision 2026: Top 5

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Top 5

$82,100 Vol.

May 16, 2026
Polymarket

$82,100 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Finland

$17,672 Vol.

82%

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Israel

$10,710 Vol.

60%

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Greece

$4,493 Vol.

58%

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France

$4,889 Vol.

56%

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Denmark

$6,264 Vol.

56%

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Australia

$2,059 Vol.

49%

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Sweden

$13,925 Vol.

37%

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Ukraine

$2,140 Vol.

37%

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Romania

$1,596 Vol.

31%

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Italy

$2,242 Vol.

29%

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Czechia

$235 Vol.

17%

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Bulgaria

$125 Vol.

16%

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Latvia

$33 Vol.

11%

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Cyprus

$4,665 Vol.

15%

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Moldova

$180 Vol.

14%

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Lithuania

$470 Vol.

12%

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Montenegro

$127 Vol.

10%

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Serbia

$236 Vol.

10%

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Luxembourg

$135 Vol.

10%

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Austria

$366 Vol.

9%

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San Marino

$26 Vol.

8%

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Norway

$1,346 Vol.

8%

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United Kingdom

$281 Vol.

8%

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Azerbaijan

$451 Vol.

8%

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Portugal

$0 Vol.

8%

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Armenia

$591 Vol.

8%

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Croatia

$292 Vol.

7%

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Germany

$1,085 Vol.

6%

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Poland

$55 Vol.

10%

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Malta

$3,607 Vol.

12%

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Switzerland

$432 Vol.

10%

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Belgium

$552 Vol.

4%

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Albania

$372 Vol.

8%

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Georgia

$231 Vol.

12%

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Estonia

$220 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna hosts Eurovision 2026 on May 12, 14, and 16 at Wiener Stadthalle following Austria's JJ victory with "Wasted Love" in 2025, auto-qualifying the Big 5 (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) to the final. National selections wrapped in March, spotlighting frontrunner entries like Finland's high-energy "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which dominated previews at Eurovision in Concert, alongside strong contenders from France, Israel (Noam Bettan), Greece, and Denmark. Early April's semi-final running order reveal stabilized lineups, fueling trader sentiment toward Nordic and Balkan acts with proven televote appeal. First rehearsals start May 1, where staging and live polish could spark momentum shifts before the semis.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$82,100
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Vienna hosts Eurovision 2026 on May 12, 14, and 16 at Wiener Stadthalle following Austria's JJ victory with "Wasted Love" in 2025, auto-qualifying the Big 5 (France, Germany, Italy, Spain, UK) to the final. National selections wrapped in March, spotlighting frontrunner entries like Finland's high-energy "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, which dominated previews at Eurovision in Concert, alongside strong contenders from France, Israel (Noam Bettan), Greece, and Denmark. Early April's semi-final running order reveal stabilized lineups, fueling trader sentiment toward Nordic and Balkan acts with proven televote appeal. First rehearsals start May 1, where staging and live polish could spark momentum shifts before the semis.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$82,100
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Related

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Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

26%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

73%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

90%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 82%, followed by "Israel" at 60%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" has generated $82.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Top 5," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" is "Finland" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Israel" at 60%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Top 5" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.