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# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?

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# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?

15m+ 69%

14m-15m 36%

13m-14m <1%

<11m <1%

Polymarket

$49,340 Vol.

15m+ 69%

14m-15m 36%

13m-14m <1%

<11m <1%

Polymarket

$49,340 Vol.

<11m

$4,680 Vol.

<1%

11m-12m

$2,515 Vol.

<1%

12m-13m

$7,977 Vol.

<1%

13m-14m

$13,487 Vol.

1%

14m-15m

$1,857 Vol.

36%

15m+

$18,990 Vol.

64%

Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.Trader consensus favors Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" music video surpassing 15 million YouTube views in its first week at 53% implied probability, driven by its explosive launch on April 6 with over 1 million views in the first three hours and star power from Margaret Qualley and Madelyn Cline in a campy Bling Ring-inspired heist narrative. Recent momentum surged from her Coachella Weekend 1 headline set on April 10, where she opened with the track, amplifying social media buzz and fan streams—hitting around 13 million views by April 12 amid parallels to her prior hit "Tears." Competitive dynamics with her catalog's strong video debuts position 14-15 million (30%) as a close second, with resolution hinging on final day surges before week 1 closes.

Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Volume
$49,340
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.Trader consensus favors Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" music video surpassing 15 million YouTube views in its first week at 53% implied probability, driven by its explosive launch on April 6 with over 1 million views in the first three hours and star power from Margaret Qualley and Madelyn Cline in a campy Bling Ring-inspired heist narrative. Recent momentum surged from her Coachella Weekend 1 headline set on April 10, where she opened with the track, amplifying social media buzz and fan streams—hitting around 13 million views by April 12 amid parallels to her prior hit "Tears." Competitive dynamics with her catalog's strong video debuts position 14-15 million (30%) as a close second, with resolution hinging on final day surges before week 1 closes.

Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted.

If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Volume
$49,340
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:19 PM ET
Sabrina Carpenter released a new YouTube video for "House Tour" on April 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of views Sabrina Carpenter's new "House Tour" YouTube video gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the relevant video becomes permanently unavailable by April 13, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is the YouTube video for "House Tour" (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KWoTyfPsqbE), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "15m+" at 64%, followed by "14m-15m" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" has generated $49.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" is "15m+" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "14m-15m" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of views of Sabrina Carpenter's "House Tour" video on week 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.