Vote Counting predictions & odds

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SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?

69%

$31.3K Vol.

$53.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

25%

$14.4K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 9 months

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory (Higher Strikes for Tisza)

93%

Tisza 12-15%

$548K Vol.

$422K today

$135K Liq.

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory

99%

Tisza 9%+

$3M Vol.

$542K today

$338K Liq.

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

85%

Keiko Fujimori <5%

$140K Vol.

$74.4K today

$72.3K Liq.

2

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

29%

Paxton 9%+

$51.0K Vol.

$112K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

98%

Stratton 6–9%

$23.6K Vol.

$22.5K Liq.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

37%

Lula da Silva <5%

$218K Vol.

$89.4K Liq.

9

Ends in 6 months

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

98%

50-54%

$487K Vol.

$315K today

$91.3K Liq.

3

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

Hungary Election: Fidesz-KDNP % of popular vote

97%

36-40%

$133K Vol.

$35.2K Liq.

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

46%

PB 10-15%

$34.5K Vol.

$30.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 days

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

26%

Pass 3-6%

$4.8K Vol.

$44.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

24%

Democrats 6-8%

$30.7K Vol.

$52.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?

8%

$17.6K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Hungary Parliamentary Election:  Popular Vote Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner

100%

Tisza

$2M Vol.

$270K today

$156K Liq.

13

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

74%

$2.2K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

81%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$77.9K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

22

Ends in 8 months

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

10%

$11.5K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

Trump's mail-in voting executive order blocked in April?

61%

$2.5K Vol.

$169 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

98%

FP

$67.8K Vol.

$46.9K Liq.

2

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Vote Counting that lets you track or trade on predictions like “SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Hungary Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Tisza 9%+. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Vote Counting predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.