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Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

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Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?

11% chance
Polymarket

$46,376 Vol.

11% chance
Polymarket

$46,376 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, this market may remain open until May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which, if results remain unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the California State Bar Association, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 89.5% implied probability for Kim Kardashian passing the California bar exam by May 3, driven by her confirmed failure on the 2025 exam and absence of any public announcement confirming registration or completion of the February 2026 sitting. Despite vowing in late 2025 interviews to retake it "as soon as possible" after coming "so close," recent statements in early 2026 highlight her struggle to carve out study time amid SKIMS expansions, family commitments, and media projects. The grueling two-day test—infamous for sub-50% pass rates, even tougher via apprenticeship without a J.D.—plus results not due until late May, underscores significant barriers. Watch for potential results disclosure or withdrawal news as the deadline nears.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, this market may remain open until May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which, if results remain unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the California State Bar Association, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$46,376
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 10, 2025, 5:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, this market may remain open until May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which, if results remain unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the California State Bar Association, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, this market may remain open until May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which, if results remain unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the California State Bar Association, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 89.5% implied probability for Kim Kardashian passing the California bar exam by May 3, driven by her confirmed failure on the 2025 exam and absence of any public announcement confirming registration or completion of the February 2026 sitting. Despite vowing in late 2025 interviews to retake it "as soon as possible" after coming "so close," recent statements in early 2026 highlight her struggle to carve out study time amid SKIMS expansions, family commitments, and media projects. The grueling two-day test—infamous for sub-50% pass rates, even tougher via apprenticeship without a J.D.—plus results not due until late May, underscores significant barriers. Watch for potential results disclosure or withdrawal news as the deadline nears.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, this market may remain open until May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which, if results remain unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the California State Bar Association, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$46,376
End Date
May 3, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 10, 2025, 5:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Kardashian receives a passing score on the California Bar Exam by May 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of all California State Bar Exams within this market's timeframe are not known by the specified end date, this market may remain open until May 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which, if results remain unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the California State Bar Association, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 11% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 11¢, the market collectively assigns a 11% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?" has generated $46.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?" is 11% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 11% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.